Now that SP and BSP have announced their pre-poll alliance for Lok Sabha 2019 election, let's look at the numbers. Let's look at constituencies where BJP won but SP + BPS got a larger vote share. So with this unlikely assumption that all the vote is transferrable, what would be the impact of these parties coming together. Following is the list of constituencies where SP + BSP scored more than BJP in the last election.
| No. | Constituency | BJP | BSP + SP |
| 1 | Allahabad | 313772 | 413836 |
| 2 | Ambedkar Nagar | 432104 | 527142 |
| 3 | Amroha | 528880 | 533649 |
| 4 | Aonla | 409907 | 461678 |
| 5 | Bahraich | 432392 | 433651 |
| 6 | Ballia | 359758 | 362008 |
| 7 | Banda | 342066 | 416008 |
| 8 | Basti | 357680 | 607865 |
| 9 | Bhadohi | 403695 | 484266 |
| 10 | Bijnor | 486913 | 511263 |
| 11 | Chandauli | 414135 | 461524 |
| 12 | Dhaurahra | 360357 | 468714 |
| 13 | Domariyaganj | 298845 | 370035 |
| 14 | Etawah | 439646 | 459504 |
| 15 | Fatehpur Sikri | 426589 | 466880 |
| 16 | Ghazipur | 306929 | 516122 |
| 17 | Ghosi | 379797 | 399669 |
| 18 | Hardoi | 360501 | 555701 |
| 19 | Jaunpur | 367149 | 400842 |
| 20 | Jhansi | 575889 | 599214 |
| 21 | Kaiserganj | 381500 | 450008 |
| 22 | Kaushambi | 331724 | 490146 |
| 23 | Kheri | 398578 | 448416 |
| 24 | Lalganj | 324016 | 494901 |
| 25 | Machhlishahr | 438210 | 457442 |
| 26 | Misrikh | 412575 | 519971 |
| 27 | Mohanlalganj | 455274 | 552224 |
| 28 | Moradabad | 485224 | 558665 |
| 29 | Nagina | 367825 | 521120 |
| 30 | Rampur | 358616 | 416187 |
| 31 | Sambhal | 360242 | 607708 |
| 32 | Sant Kabir Nagar | 348892 | 491083 |
| 33 | Shahjahanpur | 525132 | 532516 |
| 34 | Shrawasti | 345964 | 454941 |
| 35 | Sitapur | 417546 | 522689 |
| 36 | Sultanpur | 410348 | 459590 |
So, there are 36 constituencies where SP + BSP had polled more vote than BJP in last election. Since we are doing this hypothetical exercise, let's how the situation changes if we throw INC also in the mix.
| No. | Constituency | BJP | BSP+SP+INC |
| 1 | Aligarh | 514622 | 516844 |
| 2 | Allahabad | 313772 | 516289 |
| 3 | Ambedkar Nagar | 432104 | 549917 |
| 4 | Amroha | 528880 | 533649 |
| 5 | Aonla | 409907 | 555539 |
| 6 | Bahraich | 432392 | 458072 |
| 7 | Ballia | 359758 | 362008 |
| 8 | Banda | 342066 | 452658 |
| 9 | Barabanki | 454214 | 568770 |
| 10 | Basti | 357680 | 635538 |
| 11 | Bhadohi | 403695 | 484266 |
| 12 | Bijnor | 486913 | 511263 |
| 13 | Chandauli | 414135 | 488718 |
| 14 | Dhaurahra | 360357 | 639708 |
| 15 | Domariyaganj | 298845 | 370035 |
| 16 | Etawah | 439646 | 472901 |
| 17 | Farrukhabad | 406195 | 465757 |
| 18 | Fatehpur | 485994 | 525100 |
| 19 | Fatehpur Sikri | 426589 | 474327 |
| 20 | Ghazipur | 306929 | 516122 |
| 21 | Ghosi | 379797 | 399669 |
| 22 | Gonda | 359639 | 417659 |
| 23 | Hardoi | 360501 | 578999 |
| 24 | Jaunpur | 367149 | 400842 |
| 25 | Jhansi | 575889 | 683303 |
| 26 | Kaiserganj | 381500 | 507409 |
| 27 | Kaushambi | 331724 | 522051 |
| 28 | Kheri | 398578 | 632356 |
| 29 | Kushi Nagar | 370051 | 528648 |
| 30 | Lalganj | 324016 | 516733 |
| 31 | Machhlishahr | 438210 | 493717 |
| 32 | Maharajganj | 471542 | 502251 |
| 33 | Meerut | 532981 | 555325 |
| 34 | Mirzapur | 436536 | 478982 |
| 35 | Misrikh | 412575 | 553046 |
| 36 | Mohanlalganj | 455274 | 604822 |
| 37 | Moradabad | 485224 | 558665 |
| 38 | Nagina | 367825 | 521120 |
| 39 | Pratapgarh | 375789 | 466294 |
| 40 | Rampur | 358616 | 572653 |
| 41 | Robertsganj | 378211 | 409926 |
| 42 | Sambhal | 360242 | 607708 |
| 43 | Sant Kabir Nagar | 348892 | 491083 |
| 44 | Shahjahanpur | 525132 | 559527 |
| 45 | Shrawasti | 345964 | 454941 |
| 46 | Sitapur | 417546 | 551793 |
| 47 | Sultanpur | 410348 | 501573 |
| 48 | Unnao | 518834 | 605935 |
So, if we take BSP+SP+INC together, we see that they polled more votes than BJP in last election in 48 constituencies.
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