Psephology in Indian elections of always interesting. Television commentators and professors from some mathematics istitute discus on television as if what they discovered is a forgone conclusion. I have heard statements like "Now that congress has lost it, what next for them?".
Following is the list of constituencies with the winning margin.
In summary, based on last election, there are 149 constituencies which were won with less than 5% margin.
 |
| Winning margin for constituencies with less than 5% margin |
| Constituency No | Constituency | State | Percentage Margin |
| 5 | Zahirabad | Andhra Pradesh | 1.71% |
| 6 | Medak | Andhra Pradesh | 0.57% |
| 10 | Chelvella | Andhra Pradesh | 1.60% |
| 11 | Mahbubnagar | Andhra Pradesh | 2.43% |
| 12 | Nagarkurnool | Andhra Pradesh | 4.66% |
| 23 | Kakinada | Andhra Pradesh | 3.53% |
| 24 | Amalapuram | Andhra Pradesh | 3.91% |
| 25 | Rajahmundry | Andhra Pradesh | 0.21% |
| 27 | Eluru | Andhra Pradesh | 3.97% |
| 28 | Machilipatnam | Andhra Pradesh | 1.19% |
| 29 | Vijayawada | Andhra Pradesh | 1.17% |
| 30 | Guntur | Andhra Pradesh | 3.77% |
| 31 | Narasaraopet | Andhra Pradesh | 0.15% |
| 37 | Hindupur | Andhra Pradesh | 2.22% |
| 40 | Tirupati | Andhra Pradesh | 1.82% |
| 42 | Chittoor | Andhra Pradesh | 1.02% |
| 43 | Arunachal West | Arunachal Pradesh | 0.46% |
| 45 | Karimganj | Assam | 1.16% |
| 50 | Barpeta | Assam | 3.38% |
| 51 | Gauhati | Assam | 1.07% |
| 53 | Tezpur | Assam | 3.58% |
| 54 | Nowgong | Assam | 4.54% |
| 57 | Dibrugarh | Assam | 4.68% |
| 58 | Lakhimpur | Assam | 4.90% |
| 69 | Katihar | Bihar | 1.88% |
| 74 | Vaishali | Bihar | 2.70% |
| 79 | Hajipur | Bihar | 4.45% |
| 89 | Pataliputra | Bihar | 3.75% |
| 100 | South Goa | Goa | 4.60% |
| 102 | Banaskantha | Gujarat | 0.84% |
| 105 | Sabarkantha | Gujarat | 2.39% |
| 118 | Panchmahal | Gujarat | 0.19% |
| 126 | Valsad | Gujarat | 0.51% |
| 129 | Sirsa | Haryana | 2.41% |
| 147 | Chikkodi | Karnataka | 4.42% |
| 149 | Bagalkot | Karnataka | 2.47% |
| 157 | Dharwad | Karnataka | 3.70% |
| 163 | Dakshina Kannada | Karnataka | 3.22% |
| 167 | Mysore | Karnataka | 1.70% |
| 170 | Bangalore North | Karnataka | 3.62% |
| 172 | Bangalore South | Karnataka | 2.90% |
| 180 | Malappuram | Kerala | 0.00% |
| 183 | Alathur | Kerala | 2.53% |
| 184 | Thrissur | Kerala | 3.20% |
| 186 | Ernakulam | Kerala | 1.58% |
| 196 | Bhind | Madhya Pradesh | 4.38% |
| 203 | Satna | Madhya Pradesh | 0.44% |
| 209 | Balaghat | Madhya Pradesh | 3.82% |
| 216 | Ujjain | Madhya Pradesh | 4.48% |
| 218 | Ratlam | Madhya Pradesh | 4.65% |
| 222 | Khandwa | Madhya Pradesh | 4.28% |
| 224 | Nandurbar | Maharashtra | 3.97% |
| 228 | Buldhana | Maharashtra | 3.29% |
| 253 | Mumbai South Central | Maharashtra | 4.93% |
| 264 | Latur | Maharashtra | 1.51% |
| 276 | Mizoram | Mizoram | 0.00% |
| 286 | Dhenkanal | Orissa | 2.17% |
| 287 | Bolangir | Orissa | 4.82% |
| 289 | Nabarangpur | Orissa | 0.00% |
| 295 | Bhubaneswar | Orissa | 1.46% |
| 303 | Hoshiarpur | Punjab | 2.93% |
| 308 | Ferozpur | Punjab | 2.20% |
| 339 | Chennai North | Tamil Nadu | 2.90% |
| 340 | Chennai South | Tamil Nadu | 4.52% |
| 342 | Sriperumbudur | Tamil Nadu | 2.23% |
| 344 | Arakkonam | Tamil Nadu | 1.41% |
| 350 | Viluppuram | Tamil Nadu | 0.35% |
| 360 | Karur | Tamil Nadu | 3.12% |
| 362 | Perambalur | Tamil Nadu | 0.95% |
| 368 | Sivaganga | Tamil Nadu | 0.43% |
| 370 | Theni | Tamil Nadu | 0.41% |
| 380 | Kairana | Uttar Pradesh | 3.10% |
| 381 | Muzaffarnagar | Uttar Pradesh | 1.60% |
| 401 | Badaun | Uttar Pradesh | 1.96% |
| 408 | Sitapur | Uttar Pradesh | 2.79% |
| 423 | Jalaun | Uttar Pradesh | 0.91% |
| 433 | Ambedkar Nagar | Uttar Pradesh | 1.87% |
| 437 | Gonda | Uttar Pradesh | 1.37% |
| 449 | Salempur | Uttar Pradesh | 4.64% |
| 480 | Jadavpur | West Bengal | 4.54% |
| 483 | Howrah | West Bengal | 3.75% |
| 484 | Uluberia | West Bengal | 4.64% |
| 509 | Mahasamund | Chattisgarh | 4.11% |
| 523 | Lohardaga | Jharkhand | 1.45% |
- Less than 1% margin -- 16 seats
- Between 1% and 2% margin -- 19 seats
- Between 2 % and 3% margin -- 30 seats
- Between 3% and 4% margin -- 36 seats
- Between 4% and 5% margin -- 48 seats
